AI investment could destabilize global economy, warns Wall Street veteran - AI2Work Analysis

GPT‑5: 2025’s Unconfirmed Leap – What Technical Leaders Should Know GPT‑5 Hype vs. Reality: A 2025 Technical Primer for Decision Makers Executive Snapshot Current Reality: OpenAI’s most advanced commercial model remains GPT‑4 Turbo (and the consumer‑facing GPT‑4o). No official GPT‑5 launch has been announced as of October 2025. Hype Indicators: Media reports, internal OpenAI chatter, and early third‑party benchmarks hint at a forthcoming architecture that could surpass GPT‑4 Turbo in reasoning depth and token handling. Strategic Takeaway: Firms should treat GPT‑5 as an unverified future capability, maintain flexibility in vendor strategy, and focus on proven models for critical workloads. The Technical Landscape: GPT‑4o & GPT‑4 Turbo vs. Rumored GPT‑5 OpenAI’s current commercial stack is anchored by two closely related models: GPT‑4 Turbo : Optimized for API latency (≈0.7 s per 1,000 tokens), cost ($0.03 per 1,000 tokens), and broad application coverage—from content generation to compliance monitoring. GPT‑4o : A multimodal variant with a 128k-token context window and real‑time streaming capabilities, priced at $0.06 per 1,000 tokens. Its larger context is especially valuable for financial risk modeling and regulatory reporting. In contrast, the unverified GPT‑5 narrative proposes: A 256k-token window (double GPT‑4o). Latency of 0.3 s per prompt for high‑volume contracts. An estimated 45 % reduction in hallucination rates relative to GPT‑4 Turbo, based on internal OpenAI alpha tests released to a limited partner cohort. Because these figures lack public benchmarks or open‑source validation, any economic modeling that incorporates them remains speculative. Technical leaders should therefore treat such numbers as placeholders pending official data releases. Economic Implications of an Unconfirmed Model Even without concrete specs, the mere possibility of a GPT‑5 launch influences market dynamics: Vendor Lock‑In Pressure: If GPT‑5 becomes the de facto standard for